Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.0%
Barcelona
10.7%
Draw
5.3%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
Barcelona
vs
0.70
Valencia
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
5.3%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).