Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
St Etienne
20.8%
Draw
20.6%
Boulogne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
St Etienne
vs
0.98
Boulogne
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
3.0%
4-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).