Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Le Mans
22.9%
Draw
16.0%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Le Mans
vs
0.66
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).