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AHT: 01

27 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
Cardiff
27.3%
Draw
37.6%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Cardiff

vs
1.40

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).