Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Avellino
31.9%
Draw
31.2%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Avellino
vs
1.03
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).