Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Wrexham
25.7%
Draw
20.5%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Wrexham
vs
0.98
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).