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AHT: 01CSV

17 Apr 2021 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.5%
Denizlispor
36.6%
Draw
30.8%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Denizlispor

vs
1.04

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).