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AHT: 11CSV

23 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.7%
Queen of Sth
28.1%
Draw
35.3%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Queen of Sth

vs
1.28

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).