Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Alverca
28.6%
Draw
50.1%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Alverca
vs
1.45
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).