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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.0%
Easington Sports
33.8%
Draw
18.2%
Bristol City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Easington Sports

vs
0.50

Bristol City

Markets

BTTS24.9%
Over 0.578.5%
Over 1.544.6%
Over 2.519.7%
Over 3.56.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.6%
0-0
21.5%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-0
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
2-2
1.4%
4-0
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).