⚽ FootballData
2 – 4
AHT: 12CSV

08 Oct 2019 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
18.0%
Ebbsfleet
23.3%
Draw
58.7%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.96

Torquay

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).