Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Logrones
32.7%
Draw
32.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Logrones
vs
0.87
Leganes
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.5%
1-0
15.5%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).