Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Chornomorets
27.4%
Draw
53.1%
Karpaty
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Chornomorets
vs
1.46
Karpaty
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).