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AHT: 01CSV

22 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Oxford

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.9%
Ipswich
15.8%
Draw
11.3%
Oxford

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

Ipswich

vs
0.76

Oxford

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).