Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Malaga
15.5%
Draw
10.1%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Malaga
vs
0.81
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).