Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Sporting Gijón
24.0%
Draw
23.7%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.05
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).