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25 Jan 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.1%
Juve Stabia
30.8%
Draw
26.2%
Carrarese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Juve Stabia

vs
0.96

Carrarese

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).