Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Bristol City
25.0%
Draw
51.1%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Bristol City
vs
1.77
Coventry
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).