Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Spezia
28.5%
Draw
26.1%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Spezia
vs
1.07
Cesena
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).