Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Las Palmas
31.8%
Draw
35.9%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Las Palmas
vs
1.03
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).