Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Crewe
26.8%
Draw
41.6%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Crewe
vs
1.27
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).