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26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.8%
Charlton
18.6%
Draw
12.6%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Charlton

vs
0.68

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).