Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
28.2%
Draw
35.1%
Sandhausen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.33
Sandhausen
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).