Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Lugo
34.8%
Draw
40.0%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Lugo
vs
0.92
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS29.2%
Over 0.579.7%
Over 1.547.0%
Over 2.521.4%
Over 3.57.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.3%
0-1
19.0%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
2.7%
2-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).