Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Salernitana
36.1%
Draw
30.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Salernitana
vs
0.85
Brescia
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.581.3%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.7%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
14.4%
0-1
13.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).