Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Marseille
18.9%
Draw
22.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Marseille
vs
1.43
Lorient
Markets
BTTS68.7%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).