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26 Dec 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.2%
Eastleigh
26.3%
Draw
25.5%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Eastleigh

vs
1.15

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).