Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Venezia
23.0%
Draw
10.6%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Venezia
vs
0.62
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).