Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Plymouth
29.6%
Draw
38.3%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Plymouth
vs
1.27
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).