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13 Aug 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Montpellier
30.0%
Draw
48.0%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Montpellier

vs
1.14

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS32.3%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.553.2%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.5%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
4.1%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).