Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Orenburg
26.5%
Draw
22.9%
Krylya Sovetov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Orenburg
vs
1.10
Krylya Sovetov
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).