Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Brentford
30.8%
Draw
30.3%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Brentford
vs
1.14
Everton
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).