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DHT: 01CSV

08 Aug 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.7%
Kidderminster
33.3%
Draw
43.1%
Grimsby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Kidderminster

vs
1.13

Grimsby

Markets

BTTS37.4%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.1%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).