Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Port Vale
26.5%
Draw
39.5%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Port Vale
vs
1.18
Burton
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).