Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Las Palmas
27.0%
Draw
15.8%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Las Palmas
vs
0.60
Numancia
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
13.4%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.4%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).