Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Lens
21.9%
Draw
22.6%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Lens
vs
1.05
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).