Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Carlisle
24.1%
Draw
57.6%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Carlisle
vs
1.59
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).