Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Lecco
30.0%
Draw
45.9%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lecco
vs
1.37
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).