Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Genoa
26.5%
Draw
20.2%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Genoa
vs
0.77
Lecce
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).