Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Hearts
21.3%
Draw
10.1%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Hearts
vs
0.59
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
15.0%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).