Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.5%
Barnsley
17.9%
Draw
72.7%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Barnsley
vs
2.34
Fulham
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.6%
0-1
10.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
1-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).