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DHT: 12CSV

23 Sept 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Falkirk
28.2%
Draw
34.5%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Falkirk

vs
1.23

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).