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AHT: 14CSV

07 Jan 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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2.6%
Istanbulspor
9.9%
Draw
87.5%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Istanbulspor

vs
3.40

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.557.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
11.8%
0-2
10.4%
0-4
10.1%
1-3
7.3%
0-5
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
1-4
6.2%
0-1
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
1-5
4.2%
0-0
2.7%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).