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09 Nov 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Dender
27.8%
Draw
40.7%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Dender

vs
1.35

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).