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DHT: 11CSV

07 Nov 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Nantes
26.2%
Draw
50.6%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Nantes

vs
1.44

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.2%
0-0
9.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).