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AHT: 12CSV

27 Nov 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.9%
Greuther Furth
18.0%
Draw
69.0%
Hoffenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Greuther Furth

vs
2.49

Hoffenheim

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
1-4
4.9%
0-4
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).