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DHT: 11CSV

17 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Woking
23.1%
Draw
62.0%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Woking

vs
1.93

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).