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DHT: 00CSV

25 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.6%
Besiktas
25.1%
Draw
11.2%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Besiktas

vs
0.78

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).