Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Ingolstadt
19.6%
Draw
68.7%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Ingolstadt
vs
2.28
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
0-0
5.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).