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19 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Bonnyrigg Rose
27.3%
Draw
46.7%
Edinburgh City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Bonnyrigg Rose

vs
1.76

Edinburgh City

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).